Strategy Redux: Nothing New Since 1918?

An October 2006 workshop at NIH featured reports from medical historians about strategies employed during the 1918 pandemic. Upshot? Use the same strategies again.

2006-10-28 An NPR report reported on an NIH workshop featuring medical historians who had researched strategies that seemed to work during the 1918 pandemic. The report highlighted strategies employed then, including school closures, home quarantines and cancellation of public events.

Survey results also reported at the NIH session indicated that 9 of 10 Americans claim they would comply with a quarantine, but this leaves serious doubt as to whether this is feasible in a highly interdependent, networked society. Because the illness can run a relatively long course, and because some smaller employers may close entirely for extended periods, there is a question as to how long people can go without a paycheck. With many families having two working parents -- more than in 1918 -- school closures will have widespread effects.

Nonetheless, it's clear that a simulation must cover these three basic public health strategies of school and public event closures, and home quarantines. Detailed models of these strategies appear to be lightly covered in the simulation literature.


News
2007-06-05 Indonesian Death Toll at 79
The Associated Press reported that 79 Indonesians have died of H5N1.
2007-05-02 U.S. National Biosurveillance Integration System
Proposed DHS system to give the agency real time data from systems maintained by other agencies.
2007-05-02 About PandemicSimulation.com
Preparing for a pandemic requires expertise that is both broad and deep. PandemicSimulation.com seeks to deepen understanding of modeling, game and simulation issues, to foster community contributions to common needs and to build software solutions.
2007-05-02 adlCommunity.net to use Moodle
The US DoD Advanced Distributed Learning initiative created a new virtual community, adlCommunity.net, and selected Moodle products to power it.
2007-04-18 FDA Approves First U.S. Vaccine vs. H5N1
The sanofi pasteur vaccine, which demonstrated effectiveness for about half of the humans receiving it during test trials, will be stockpiled by the U.S. Government and will not be sold commercially.
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